A Canadian friend is canvassing in Iowa writes in writes that:
from the home stretch in iowa are looking positive. I think the promotion of absentee voting has been critical, and I have been chasing in ballots for the last two days.
Fivethirtyeight.com has Iowa polling at a composite 54-43, so it should be good to go, but it's definitely a good idea to chase down absentee ballots (as I know from experience in the 2000 Florida race). We're down to the wire, so anything we can do to lock down the states leaning Obama is time well spent.
Having Iowa solidly in Obama's column has been a big advantage over last cycle. Having the Kerry states plus Iowa puts Obama at 259, which means that to win we only need Virginia, Ohio, Florida or North Carolina (or gets a tie in CO), without having to rely on winning two of those states.
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